There are a lot of different theories to playing GPP tournaments and it’s really hard to say who is right and wrong. Through trial and error I have a learned a lot over the last couple of years and hopefully I can help you avoid the “error” part.
Finding The Right Budget
I talked in the last article about diversifying your lineups in cash games and now I’ll try to explain how to diversify yourself in GPP‘s. I’ve mentioned in my book that it’s important to give yourself a chance by having enough lineups.
You don’t want your bankroll to be a disadvantage when playing in large field tournaments. What I mean by this is if you can only afford 2-3 teams in a tournament, you are probably playing too high of stakes.
The beauty of DFS is almost every site will offer the same kind of tournaments with different buy ins. Don’t focus on the total prize but rather think of what gives you the best chance at winning that prize.
The more teams you create the better your odds of a team finishing in the top ten. Don’t play a $200 tournament because 1st pays 30k when the $25 tournament pays 10k.
Don’t be like those people who only play The Powerball when the prize pool is over 500 million because I don’t think anyone would turn down 20 million.
If you can only afford $300 worth of entries then don’t play three $100 teams. Instead find a $50 or $25 dollar tournament and make 5 or more teams.
I used to make that mistake of making five different lineups and only playing three of them in a $100 tournament. I chose the three lineups I though were the best and sure enough, the one I didn’t choose was the best lineup and would have made me the most money.
Find Which Players to Target
Find out which players are going to be the most popular players for the week.
It’s usually one of the higher priced players against a bad team with a high over under. You will also notice these players’ names in a lot of advice articles because you aren’t as smart as you think; other people will know about them too.
Once you find them, avoid them!!!
Try to find someone at a similar price who you think will have a chance to out play them.
Here are two great examples from two different situations:
Last week, the top two QB’s were Matt Ryan and Peyton Manning. I played a Thursday tournament where lineups locked and you could see the percentage owned of the players.
They were hands down 1A and 1B.
I knew if I wanted to win I couldn’t play them because too many people would also have them. So I had to find someone else who could possibly outscore them and hope for the best.
I opted to go with Cutler and Foles.
Cutler and Foles were both about 5% owned in this tournament while Manning and Ryan were 25-30%. Foles didn’t do as great as I hoped, but Cutler did better than both Ryan and Manning, giving me an edge on roughly a little more than half the field.
That Line up cashed when all was said and done.
A lot of the time we are dealing with the higher priced players, but other times we are dealing with the value flavor of the week. I believe it was week four when Ryan Matthews and Danny Woodhead were both out leaving Donald Brown to be the work horse in San Diego.
At his price I knew he would be heavily owned on the site I was playing because they didn’t adjust his price being the starter.
There is a theory that if everyone knows about them they are no longer a value but there are two ways to go about it. You can play them because if they do well then you don’t have that great of a chance without them.
Or you can fade them in hopes they don’t do well.
I had him on some teams and I made it a point not to have him on the others (that’s why you want to be able to have multiple teams, so you can make moves like this. It’s a lot harder to do when you only have two or three teams). I decided to go with Frank Gore who was actually about the same price due to poor performances the weeks before.
When the game started, Brown was 70% owned and Gore was 3% owned. Brown put up 7 fantasy points and Gore scored 27.
My team with Gore got third in the tournament and I scored my biggest cash payout of my DFS career. Sure I had Rodgers and Nelson, but so did 30% of the field.
But having Gore, not Brown, made my team stand out.
Stay tuned for the rest of my GPP advice…
- Part One: Steps to Becoming a Professional Daily Fantasy Sports Player
- Part Two: Creating Multiple Lineups
- Part Four: Winning Like a Pro in GPP’s
- Want My Complete Strategies for Winning in Daily Fantasy Football? – Check out My Book!