In Part 3 of this series I spoke about finding the right budget and how to make your team different by avoiding the popular plays (both expensive players and value players). Here are links to those articles in case you have not read them.
Daily Fantasy Sports Professional:
- Part One: Steps to Becoming a Professional Daily Fantasy Sports Player
- Part Two: Creating Multiple Lineups
- Part Three: GPP Lineups
I want to take a little time to explain a few things before we move on.
The first thing I spoke about was finding the right budget to allow you to make multiple teams. When I broke down the scenario with Donald Brown, the most important line of that breakdown was when I said “I made it a point to have TEAMS without him”. What you need to understand is that I had teams (and quite a few of them) with Donald Brown that week.
I also had teams with the popular expensive players. If someone is incredibly popular that week, there is most likely a good reason for it. If they perform better than expected then you are in trouble if none of your teams have that player.
Cover Many Situations for Tournament Lineups
In GPP’s you are trying to cover as many situations as possible and while we focused on the popular plays not doing that well or under performing, you need to account for them performing well also.
Notice I mentioned having Aaron Rodgers and Jordy Nelson on my third place finishing team but so did about 30% of the field. They were obviously the popular plays of the week and if they went off (which they did) you had to have them on your line up if you wanted a chance of winning.
In fact you will often see the top ten in every GPP have similar players and they usually are a QB handcuffed with one of their receivers.
Middle of the Road Players Can Be Key
So most of the time its the middle of the road players that will make a difference. If two players (like Rodgers/Nelson) are highly owned and have career days, all the teams that don’t have them are most likely done and have no chance of winning.
So it’s the rest of your team competing with the rest of the other Rodger/Nelson combo’s.
In the case of my money winning lineup, a lot of the other teams had Donald Brown (a value player) while I had Frank Gore, and that will typically be the case. You need value players to afford high profile combo’s like that on your team.
How Many Lineups Should You Create?
When creating a GPP lineups you need to make teams based on what you think will happen, and you better believe it’s very possible for the popular plays to have a great day. This is why you need (in my opinion) at least five teams.
This way you can cover your ground and if the popular plays of the week do amazing, you have that covered. If they don’t do that well or are just mediocre, you have teams that don’t have them so you are covered there as well.
You want low owned players but you can’t make just two teams of contrarian plays. That isn’t the point I was trying to make because more often than not, they don’t pan out and you will have a hard time cashing.
Other Strategies for Creating a GPP Line-Up
Sometimes it’s a smart idea to focus on a single game selecting multiple players from one game. For example, the O/U of the Saints/Packers game was 55.5 and when these teams played a few years ago there was 70 total points! Now you wouldn’t be alone if you stacked this game and you will see other people with similar stacks, but sometimes you can choose other games that you think will go off and be the highest scoring game of the week.
I know a pro who won a qualifier to the DrafKings Millionaire Championship using this method.
He stacked the Bengal/Panther game a few weeks ago and had about six players from that game. Needless to say, that game went into overtime and ended in a 37-37 tie meaning that all 15 minutes of the overtime was played (on top of the 74 points scored in that game).
If you are new to DFS one thing you will learn is overtime is fantasy gold! You gain such an edge on all the people who don’t have players in that game. If you can predict what games will go to overtime, you are living in the wrong town. You need to move to Las Vegas and live the life of a professional gambler.
Some people think that if you put a lot of money and teams into a tournament, you win a lot of money. This is kind of true because having a lot of teams allows you to create a lot of possible scenarios. But it isn’t as easy as it sounds and if you think it is, I highly encourage you to try it with 100 one dollar or quarter teams in a micro GPP.
Obviously having the money to do this is one thing, but knowing what to do with all the teams is another thing.
Remember you often hear about the winning teams in big GPP’s, but you never hear about all the other losing teams. These people taking down the massive tournaments aren’t doing it with one or two teams. They are covering a lot of ground with sometimes hundreds of teams!