I received a email from DraftKings with my baseball year-in-review from last year.
While I didn’t play as much as I should have, one thing stuck out to me.
They showed their top scoring lineup.
There are more slates and days to play baseball than any other sport in the DFS world.
Of all those days and hundreds of thousands of lineups created, this particular lineup was the highest scoring of all of them. Yet look how many points Castillo scored.
A reason I love baseball is there isn’t a for sure thing when it comes to batters.
Pitcher have more of a sample size because you are dealing with 100 pitches give or take, but batters are only up to the plate 4-5 times a game.
SO HOW DO YOU FIND PUNTS IN BASEBALL
Sometimes it’s really simple and you will see a guy batting on the top of the order and he’s close to min price.
Sure you can use him but odds are a lot of people will too.
You need to remember that your lineup isn’t dead if a guy puts up 0 points, so why adjust a lineup you really like to fit better mid tier batters?
The thing that is difficult about finding a lot of punts is the majority of them bat low in the lineup and may not get that last opportunity at bat which is a big deal.
First thing I do when finding a punt is look for all the values on the board.
Second, look at who they are facing (the pitcher).
Sometimes a guy is cheap but he doesn’t play very often and is going against one of the better pitchers in baseball.
This isn’t a good recipe for success in DFS to roster a guy like that. But sometimes (even though they aren’t in a prime batting spot in the order) they are facing a mediocre pitcher.
If you find a cheap guy batting 7th or 8th against a weaker pitcher, check the splits.
If the batter is a righty facing a lefty of vice versa, that may be a punt worth considering, especially if you need money to save because you are either roistering top pitchers or stacking a game in Coors.
Next thing I try to do is find a position that isn’t really that strong to begin with.
What I mean by this is I try to find positions that don’t really have that strong of an option even if you were spending up.
Most of the time it’s usually a catcher or 2nd baseman.
But if there is a prime player like Jose Altuve that you really want to target, look at outfielders.
If one of your three outfielders is a punt you will be okay.
Take Luck When It Happens
Something you need to remember in baseball, it’s good to get lucky.
If your punt plays actually score you something, take it and be happy.
Since we really don’t have a system in baseball (like points per thousand) anything is worth it.
Especially if rostering that cheap player allows you to roster the guy who hits two home runs or a multi hit game including a homerun.
Think About It
Just some food for thought, imagine if that guy with the highest scoring roster paid up for a catcher in a better spot and he went 2-5 with two singles. That would be 6 points but what if spending up for those six points meant you couldn’t afford that guy who put up 40 that day.