One of the most crucial parts of DFS is researching player information. It’s important to know the in’s and out’s of the players on a daily basis so you recognize every scenario on the slate of games.
It’s good to know the basics, like game flow and potential blowouts, but it can get complicated.
Is Too Much Information a Bad Thing?
Have you ever set up your line up early in the morning then completely change it throughout the day based on all the information you received as you research?
I fall victim to this all the time and sometimes it’s good, and sometimes it haunts me.
Here’s An Example…
Take for example the other day, I made a “first look” team early in the morning with all the players I liked best. Typically I don’t put too much into my team and just throw in the players I like that day. I usually just use this team to enter all the contests I’m going to play and go back to make changes as the day goes along.
Well I showed my friend my first look team in the morning. He ended up using it, and it put up a 341 on FanDuel! My team put up a 262 and lost everything that night.
So what changed that made me alter my first look team? I had too many voices in my head telling me who to play. I am trying something new out and purchased some “expert advice” from a few sites. You have probably seen them. I have access to three different projection sheets and a list of experts picks from big tournament winners.
Again, Trust Your Gut!
I can’t say this enough!
Everyone was on Taj Gibson because Pau Gasol was out with a illness. My issue with Gibson was he wasn’t minimum price, he was a little over 5K. Looking at his game log he rarely cracks 30 even when he plays well over 30 minutes. Sure he only needed 25 to reach value but there were plays that had a better chance of bringing in a higher profit which I liked more.
Nevertheless, I saw every expert listing Gibson as a must play and he was ranked number 1 in the power forward position. I took him in my cash games because I figured he’d be incredibly highly owned and I didn’t want to risk fading him in case he had a big game.
He ended up sucking and didn’t come close to reaching value. But on the plus side he was about 80% owned and wasn’t the sole reason I lost that night. I’m not sure that any of these projection sheets are accurate because none of them project a player to score over 40 fantasy points.
Still people find comfort in having an algorithm generated by computers. It reminds me of the movie “Trouble with the Curve” where an old baseball scout for the Braves is slowly but surely getting replaced by a guy who uses computers. In the end computers can’t factor in the human element of sports and the different situations players are in.
So what is my advice when it comes to making your LU?
Limit Who You Take Advice From!
Narrow it down to two or three guys that you like and stick with them if you want any advice at all.
There will always be more and more “experts” telling you who is good and who is bad.
The key is to stay consistent in what you do if it is working.
If it’s not broke, don’t fix it.
Also if you are losing but think doing the same thing over and over will eventually win you a lot of money, look up the definition of insanity.