If you play DFS seriously then you really need to evaluate your game night in and night out. This is very important because you need to know what is working and what isn’t.
When you play DFS baseball it doesn’t take long to gain a decent sample size because you can play every single day. You can even play twice a day about twice a week.
Losing sticks with you a lot more than winning and you never feel as good about a win as you feel bad about a loss. The feeling of frustration overrides the feeling of victory.
There are two major differences when it comes to “running cold”. It all depends if you are a profitable player or not. It’s a lot different for a profitable player to run cold compared to a non profitable player.
So let me start with the more important of the two: if you aren’t a profitable player. If you aren’t winning, what are you doing every day before setting lineups? As much as people will disagree with me, are you always reading the same “expert” picks?
Are you going by what experts are telling you are good plays every day? How many experts are you actually paying attention too? This seems to be the biggest flaw of most DFS players in my opinion.
People think that because some “expert” is telling you something then you need to listen to them. If you are listening to their advice day in and day out and are winning over time, then by all means keep it up and you most likely don’t need to read this.
But most DFS players are so dependent on these experts and their columns that they can’t make a lineup without them.
Are you using any of these algorithm lineup sites?
These are getting more and more popular, but the majority of the people using them aren’t using them correctly. You can’t just click “calculate best team” and plug it in for the night. The fact that some of these algorithm sites tell you to play players who have been on the IR for a over a week should tell you something about these sites.
People are so dependent on other peoples advice they won’t make their own decisions! I only say this because I was this person two years ago.
My first season of DFS football I made a decent amount of money. Then I stumbled upon a site (which I still like to some extent) and started watching podcast and found that I was easily influenced by these experts.
I lost so much money that year so I told myself I would never watch a podcast from them again. Guess what, I made the most money I ever made last season all on my own.
This comes back to evaluating your game and seeing what you are doing right and wrong. The worst thing (in my opinion) which can happen is you try something new and it works! (hear me out on this one)
Would you have the same opinion of something if it royally screwed you the first two times? Would you dare use it for a third time or would you just say “screw this guy, his picks are horrible”.
But if you win you think it’s the greatest thing and you’re going to be rich playing DFS using so and so’s picks or an algorithm. That was me! I won those first two weeks watching the podcast and thought I found the key to success. But after evaluating my game I learned I lost a lot because of those podcasts.
Is it okay to watch podcasts and use algorithms? Yes!
It’s always great to get other peoples thoughts on things but can that be your sole research? I don’t think so!
Now To The Profitable Players
You can make all the right choices and you will lose from time to time. Sometimes these stretches seem really long and you think you are doing something wrong.
Well if you have been using the same methods for picking your team each night and have been successful over time, don’t hit the panic button and start a new approach.
If you have good bankroll management, you will be fine if you stick to how you play because you should know eventually you will have a week which can make up for those bad weeks and then some.
Don’t panic and take a break if you need too! You know it’s okay right? You don’t have to play every day just because games are offered.
Collect yourself and go back at it when you aren’t so frustrated.